8
Call Me Penny
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 57
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |