1
Teresa
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 05/07/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 22/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |