5
Frosty Karina
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 33
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength18%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |