8
North Starlight
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 32
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |