4
Peruvian Princess
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 46
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 25/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |