Taparoo

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 40

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-25	Finger Lakes	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-08-05	Finger Lakes	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2025-11-23	Aqueduct	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2025-10-17	Belmont At The Big A	?	7th	7th	0	3.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength92%

Delivery trend +17.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/10/2025	7th	6/1	68%	14%	-0.54
23/11/2025	3rd	6/1	68%	67%	-0.02
05/08/2026	7th	33/1	0%	14%	+0.14
25/08/2026	9th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00