3

Bundaberg

2yo Colt · 9-5

Goodwood · Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 1f 197y

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Both outings here, leaving 7f debut behind when 3 lengths fifth of 8 over 1m (soft) 24 days ago. The further step up in trip promises to be in his favour.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 01/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 1281/0822 @ Goodwood 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m Sft 13330/082projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Goodwood25th5th0
2026-08-01Goodwood210th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%

Delivery trend +17.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/202610th150/10%25%+0.25
30/08/20265th80/10%43%+0.43