7

Please Don't Go

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 78

Goodwood · Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 1f 197y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

71%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ghaiyyath filly who has shaped quite well on all-weather at Kempton (7f) and Lingfield (1m; collared late) on her last 2 outings. Plenty of stamina in pedigree so today's longer trip should suit. Considered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength16%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f110y GF 1281/0643 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 12812/0833 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m1y Std 12827/083projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Lingfield32nd3rd1
2026-08-12Kempton34th5th1
2026-06-01Newbury410th12th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0612/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength91%

Delivery trend +17.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/202610th4/179%18%-0.61
12/08/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
27/08/20262nd11/893%67%-0.26