Plaid
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 92
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Classified Stakes · 1m 1f 197y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Hamilton | 1 | 3rd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 85/40 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |