Runman
3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 93
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Classified Stakes · 1m 1f 197y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newbury | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 22th | 21th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Salisbury | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 1/12 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 70% | -0.22 |
| 18/06/2026 | 22nd | 50/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |