8
Jimmy Speaking
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83
Goodwood · Heineken Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Yarmouth | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ripon | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |