2
Lion's Pride
6yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 109
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Foundation Stakes (Listed) · 1m 1f 197y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Bahrain | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Newmarket | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Kempton | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-07 | Kempton | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2024 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 05/07/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 03/08/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 07/09/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 21/04/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |