5
Treble Tee
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 106
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Foundation Stakes (Listed) · 1m 1f 197y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Nottingham | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Doncaster | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 11/5 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 29/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |