4

Coral Cove

2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 81

Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Upwardly-mobile Lucky Vega filly who scored in convincing fashion in 7f York novice in July before easily landing the odds in 13-runner novice at Ripon (1m, good to firm) following month. This is much tougher but she's in very good hands and capable of better still. High draw not ideal though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f6y GF 12220/0623 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 12524/0732 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 78 · 1m Goo 131 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 78 par15/082OR 78projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Ripon21st1st0
2026-07-24York31st2nd1
2026-06-20Doncaster22nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0624/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend -11.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20262nd6/168%92%+0.23
24/07/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
15/08/20261st1/499%100%+0.01