7

Fillipas

2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 88

Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a significant step forward to get off the mark in 6f Salisbury novice in August. Progressed again with fifth of 11 in Dick Poole back there (6f, good to soft) since. This first go over 7f promises to suit so she's very much one to consider despite a high draw.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 12813/0644 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f GF 1282/0745 @ Salisbury 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Goo 12821/0851 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 82 par3/091OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury15th3rd+1
2026-08-21Salisbury51st5th3
2026-07-02Newbury410th12th2
2026-06-13Bath42nd4th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/062/0721/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +19.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20262nd17/255%75%+0.20
02/07/202610th14/126%25%-0.01
21/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
03/09/20265th28/10%60%+0.60