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3

Flooding

2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 79

Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ghaiyyath filly who shaped well when a debut second in 7f maiden at Newmarket and duly went one better in 5-runner novice (evens) at Salisbury (7f, good) by length from Tiora Time. Capable of further progress and shouldn't be underestimated.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength12%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f GF 12818/0743 @ Salisbury 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f213y Goo 12813/083projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Salisbury31st2nd−1
2026-07-18Newmarket42nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength36%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
13/08/20261st1/195%100%+0.05