2
Kodi Bear Light
2yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 79
Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newmarket | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Musselburgh | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +11.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 29% | -0.65 |
| 18/07/2026 | 19th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |