10

Lady Foxtrot

2yo Filly · 8-13

Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Minzaal filly belied market weakness to make a winning start in 13-runner novice at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago. That form leaves her with plenty to find but she's in excellent hands and promises to be well suited by this step up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 09/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 1259/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Carlisle41st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20261st14/126%100%+0.74