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14

Light Fingered

2yo Filly · 8-12

Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f

#15

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cracksman filly was sent off at 66/1 but shaped well when a debut sixth of 13 in 7f novice at Kempton 19 days ago, getting the hang of things late having run green. Open to a fair bit of progress but she'll need to in this company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sta 1284/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton46th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20266th66/10%58%+0.58