12
Rollthedicebaby
2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 74
Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Goodwood | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |