9
Summer Triangle
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 72
Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |