15
Tiora Time
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 77
Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-08-13 | Salisbury | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -28.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |