5
Zigazig Ah
2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 86
Goodwood · British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 94% | +0.15 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |