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9

Bint Al Daar

6yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 69

Goodwood · Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended long losing run against her own sex at Southwell in March and produced easily one of her better efforts since at very long odds when fourth at Doncaster (1½m, good to firm) 12 days ago, albeit doing things in rather laboured fashion. Mark has eased a little more ahead of this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Lingfield 17/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m2f Std 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 71 par17/012OR 715 @ Chelmsford City 08/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Southwell 04/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 1m3f23y Std 121 · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 70 par4/034OR 704 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 73 · 1m1f104y Std 123 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 73 · 1m4f Std 131 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 73 par3/044OR 735 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m3f23y Std 132 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 71 · 1m3f211y GF 133 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 71 par25/074OR 712 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 70 · 1m2f56y GS 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 70 par2 @ Doncaster 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m3f197y Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 70 par11/092OR 70projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Doncaster24th3rd+1
2026-08-21York211th10th+1
2026-07-25Ascot49th10th−1
2026-04-11Southwell57th9th−2
2026-04-03Lingfield48th9th−1
2026-03-20Wolverhampton45th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0120/0325/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20269th150/10%11%+0.11
08/02/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
04/03/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
20/03/20265th20/10%64%+0.64
03/04/20268th25/10%50%+0.50
11/04/20267th4/179%25%-0.54
25/07/20269th50/10%43%+0.43
21/08/202611th66/10%23%+0.23
11/09/20264th150/10%67%+0.67