1
Gloryous
4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 82
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Salisbury | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Salisbury | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |