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4

Green Sky

6yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 80

Goodwood · Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has thrived for a change of scenery, completing the hat-trick in straightforward fashion over extended 13f at Newbury in July. Respectable in-the-frame efforts next 2 starts but found things too competitive up in grade at Doncaster 12 days ago. Present mark demands that bit more in any case, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newton Abbot 04/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 100 · 2m167y Gd 168 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 100 par4/045OR 1005 @ Exeter 17/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 99 · 2m2f111y Gd 167 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 99 par4 @ Taunton 22/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 99 · 2m3f1y Gd 157 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 99 par22/044OR 995 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 67 · 1m4f Goo 127 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 67 par4 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 67 · 1m3f188y Goo 133 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 67 par10/074OR 674 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 75 · 1m5f61y GF 139 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 75 par3 @ Salisbury 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m4f5y Goo 141 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 83 par13/083OR 832 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 82 · 1m3f218y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 82 par2 @ Doncaster 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m3f197y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 81 par11/092OR 81projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Doncaster28th7th+1
2026-08-29Goodwood23rd2nd+1
2026-08-13Salisbury34th4th0
2026-07-17Newbury41st2nd−1
2026-07-10York41st2nd−1
2026-07-03Chepstow51st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/043/0713/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
17/04/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
22/04/20269th33/10%0%0.00
03/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
10/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
17/07/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
13/08/20264th6/594%50%-0.44
29/08/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
11/09/20268th20/10%22%+0.22