Hope Rising
5yo Mare · 9-11 · OR 77
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-11 | Nottingham | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 1/16 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |