Kissmehoneyhoney
4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 78
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Goodwood | 1 | 8th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Leicester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -20.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |