Paggane
7yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 73
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | Huntingdon | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-12-29 | Doncaster | 1 | 3rd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-11-26 | Market Rasen | 1 | 1st | -2th | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Carlisle | 1 | 1st | -2th | +2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Chepstow | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Haydock | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 29/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |