7
Solar Pass
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 75
Goodwood · Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |