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3yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 81

Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Completed hat-trick at Kempton in April and resumed progress to win at Sandown in July. Has disappointed twice since, although heavy ground may not have suited over C&D latterly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 08/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 1308/0956 @ Leicester 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 59 · 6f GS 134 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Kempton 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 6f Sta 135 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 65 par1/046OR 654 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 6f Sta 125 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 65 par4 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 19th of 19 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 76 par8/054OR 764 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f Sta 126 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Sandown 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 5f10y GF 133 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 76 par23/074OR 764 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 82 · 6f Sta 132 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Goodwood 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 6f Sft 135 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 82 par8/094OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Goodwood44th4th0
2026-08-26Kempton46th6th0
2026-07-23Sandown41st1st0
2026-06-10Kempton44th4th0
2026-05-08Ascot419th19th0
2026-04-08Kempton41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/098/0423/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20253rd125/10%82%+0.82
07/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
01/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
08/04/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
08/05/202619th7/163%0%-0.63
10/06/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
23/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
26/08/20266th9/488%50%-0.38
08/09/20264th12/137%50%+0.13