Brosay
4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82
Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Goodwood | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 30/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 11/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 12/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |