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5

George Wickham

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 80

Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f

#14

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive form, winning 6f Wolverhampton maiden in July. Lacks experience for a race like this but there should be more to come from him in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 16/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 13316/0854 @ Yarmouth 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Sft 13311/0645 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 13114/075projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Wolverhampton51st2nd−1
2026-06-11Yarmouth42nd2nd0
2025-08-16Bath57th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0811/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20257th12/137%0%-0.37
11/06/20262nd66/10%86%+0.86
14/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10