13
Kennington
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 75
Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -47.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/07/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 23% | -0.48 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |