17
Percy's Star
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 72
Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |