16
Sound And Vision
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 72
Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-09 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 09/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 5/6 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |