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3

Star Chorus

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 80

Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f

#15

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found it hard on turf over the summer but fared better when fourth of 12 at Southwell (6f) 3 weeks ago. Others are preferred back on the grass.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 10/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 83 · 5f6y Std 135 · below its mark10/02/2026 · OR 83 par10/024OR 834 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 83 · 6f16y Std 132 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 83 par3 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 87 par22/053OR 872 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 87 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 87 par4 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 86 · 6f12y GF 142 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 86 par27/064OR 863 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 85 · 5f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 85 par3 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 84 · 6f12y GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 84 par27/073OR 842 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 83 · 6f12y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 81 · 6f17y Std 136 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 81 par3/094OR 81projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Southwell44th4th0
2026-08-10Windsor211th9th+2
2026-07-27Windsor36th5th+1
2026-07-10Newmarket36th5th+1
2026-06-27Windsor45th5th0
2026-06-06Epsom Downs215th13th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/026/0627/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/02/20264th9/488%25%-0.63
20/02/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
22/05/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
06/06/202615th66/10%26%+0.26
27/06/20265th66/10%56%+0.56
10/07/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
27/07/20266th25/10%58%+0.58
10/08/202611th33/10%33%+0.33
03/09/20264th10/147%73%+0.25