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Tenbob Tommy

5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 77

Goodwood · Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark in a Lingfield novice in January and followed up in 6f Leicester handicap 3 months later. Continued in form with 2 placed efforts last month and can have a line put through his latest Salisbury run (raced alone on far side).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Brighton 16/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 70 · 7f216y Goo 138 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 70 par16/105OR 705 @ Lingfield 25/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 70 · 1m1y Std 133 · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Kempton 10/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 71 · 7f Sta 131 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 71 par10/125OR 715 @ Lingfield 22/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 70 · 7f1y Std 130 · beat its mark22/12/2025 · OR 70 par4 @ Lingfield 12/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 69 · 6f1y Std 142 · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 69 par12/014OR 695 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Brighton 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 77 · 5f215y Goo 138 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 77 par7/084OR 774 @ Windsor 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 6f12y GF 130 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Sft 131 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 77 par11/094OR 77projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury47th7th0
2026-08-17Windsor42nd2nd0
2026-08-07Brighton43rd3rd0
2026-04-13Leicester51st2nd−1
2026-01-12Lingfield41st1st0
2025-12-22Lingfield58th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1022/127/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 13th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20252nd11/486%91%+0.05
25/11/20252nd11/271%91%+0.20
10/12/20259th13/891%27%-0.64
22/12/20258th7/282%36%-0.45
12/01/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
13/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
07/08/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
17/08/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
11/09/20267th5/174%14%-0.59