14
Good Luck Win
7yo Gelding · 9-4
Happy Valley · Nam Fung Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 12/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 11/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/04/2026 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |