9
Kolachi
5yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Nam Fung Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: BHA35
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA35 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA39 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA41 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 04/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 10/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |