1

Super Sicario
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Nam Fung Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA41 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA41 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 18% | -0.45 |
| 07/01/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 45% | -0.37 |
| 06/04/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 06/09/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |