1

Super Sicario

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Happy Valley · Nam Fung Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 30/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f Std 11830/10C?BHA41 @ Sha Tin 23/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 41 · 7f Gd 117 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 41 parC0 @ Happy Valley 03/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f 1353/12C?C0 @ Happy Valley 17/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f Gd 134C0 @ Happy Valley 07/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Gd 1317/01C?C0 @ Happy Valley 04/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 129C0 @ Happy Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 11825/03C?BHA41 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 41 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 41 parBHA41 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 41 · 7f GF 116 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 41 par6/0941OR 41projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA4110th10th0
2026-04-06Sha TinBHA4111th11th0
2026-03-25Happy Valley?7th7th0
2026-03-04Happy Valley?1st1st0
2026-01-07Happy Valley?7th7th0
2025-12-17Happy Valley?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1017/1225/036/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/202510th6/168%25%-0.43
23/11/20254th22/10%77%+0.77
03/12/20253rd17/255%82%+0.27
17/12/202510th7/163%18%-0.45
07/01/20267th7/163%45%-0.18
04/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
25/03/20267th10/382%45%-0.37
06/04/202611th9/153%17%-0.36
06/09/202610th40/10%31%+0.31