5
To Infinity
8yo Gelding · 9-4
Happy Valley · Nam Fung Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA38
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 25/03/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 13/05/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 15/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |