10
Windicator Family
7yo Gelding · 8-8
Happy Valley · Nam Fung Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA31 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA30 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |
| 10/12/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 18% | -0.37 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 08/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 13/05/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |