10
Bits Superstar
6yo Gelding · 8-7
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 91% | -0.02 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |