1
Find My Love
7yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |