9
Good Luck Babe
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA47 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 54% | -0.28 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 01/04/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 15% | -0.56 |
| 06/05/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 31/05/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |