14

Good Power

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 01/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 5f GF 1251/07C?BHA51 @ Sha Tin 13/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 51 · 5f GF 127 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 51 par13/0951OR 51projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Sha TinBHA5112th12th0
2026-07-01Sha Tin?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -25.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20269th100/10%33%+0.33
13/09/202612th66/10%8%+0.08