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12

Majestic Delight

5yo Gelding · 8-6

Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: BHA32
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12719/02C?BHA32 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 32 · 6f GF 125 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 32 parBHA38 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 38 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 38 par6/0438OR 38BHA38 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 38 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 38 parBHA38 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 38 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 38 par17/0538OR 38C0 @ Happy Valley 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 1335 @ Happy Valley 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f GF 1323/065C0 @ Happy Valley 08/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 119BHA42 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 42 · 6f GF 117 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 42 par6/0942OR 42projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA4212th12th0
2026-07-08Happy Valley?11th11th0
2026-06-03Happy Valley51st1st0
2026-05-20Happy Valley?4th4th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA385th5th0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA384th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/023/053/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20262nd3/184%92%+0.08
15/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
06/04/20266th3/184%62%-0.23
03/05/20264th10/147%77%+0.30
17/05/20265th17/255%64%+0.08
20/05/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
03/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
08/07/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
06/09/202612th50/10%15%+0.15