7
Silver Spurs
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA45 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 06/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 10/06/2026 | 12th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 12/07/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 15% | -0.53 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |