2
Vigor Happiness
5yo Gelding · 9-8
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 12.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |